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RSI chart

RSI chartBoth indicators of the RSI chart are very reliable on their own. The result offers even better timing with my entry and exit points. But what would happen if I decided to put the two of them together? Let's have a look.

In the first chart of Home Depot (HD-NYSE), I have inserted a momentum indicator with a 12-day period. In the second chart, I compare Home Depot during the same time frame and lay a relative strength index indicator across the bottom of the space. The relative strength index in this example is also a 12-day period.

The first look at Home Depot shows momentum rising over the zero line in the first week of Dec 2002. I have shown this on the chart with blue up arrows. This entry signal is not long lived as the momentum turns a week later and heads south in a hurry to finish the year at about the $22 level, shown with red down arrows. The next entry level is not seen until the first week in Feb of 2003, again shown with blue up arrows. And for the most part, the momentum does not fall below the zero line with any conviction from that week on until the week of Jun 23. During this period of time, the stock price moves from the $21 level to today's close of $32.47.



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RSI chartYou won't see 27 momentum indicators on my RSI charts. In fact, you will usually just find one: RSI (or the Relative Strength Index). Do not confuse the RSI with "Relative Strength", which shows the performance of one security relative to another (i.e. Financials vs S&P500). RSI is a momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in a range between 0-100. Instead of going into how J. Welles Wilder created the oscillator and how it works, I am going to focus on how I use it personally. Stockcharts.com does an incredible job of explaining it's construction and Connie Brown takes RSI to the next level as good as anyone.

The second look at Home Depot, which shows the relative strength index indicator, has a slightly different look from the momentum chart above. First off, there is a weak entry point in early January and then a few weeks later a somewhat stronger entry point that for the most part continues throughout the winter and on into the spring of 2003. You can see that, after the blue up arrows (entry points) I have drawn in the early part of the year, there are three sets of red down arrows (exit points) during mid March, again during the second week in May and again in the third week of June.

It is important to recognize that many traders view the RSI value of 50 to be a support and resistance benchmark. If an issue has a difficult time breaking through the 50-value level, the resistance may be too high at that particular time, and the price action may fall off again until there is enough volume to break through and continue on to new levels. An issue falling in price may find support at the 50 value and bounce off this level again to continue an upward rise in price action.

This study of Home Depot demonstrates an interesting look that traders should consider when using oscillators for entry and exit points. In the second RSI chart of HD, the weak entry point in early January is not even reflecting a buy signal in the first chart, which uses momentum. In conclusion, disregard the entry signal. However, the second entry signal issued a few weeks later by the relative strength index is confirmed a week later with a strong buy signal from the momentum indicator rising above the zero line.

Another important note is that even though there are three exit signals shown on the RSI chart of Home Depot, the momentum look does confirm any sell signals, and the stock continues to rise with short-lived pullbacks. The sell signal on the RSI chart during the third week of June is confirmed with the momentum indicator falling off sharply at the same time and dropping below the zero line.

Double confirmation of entry and exit points gives the trader a better understanding of whether or not he or she is getting in or out at the right time. And timing is everything is this game. It is our intent to help our readers understand market strategies well enough to make informed decisions and understand the risks.


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